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Article
Publication date: 6 November 2023

Rizky Yudaruddin and Dadang Lesmana

This study aims to investigate the market reaction to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, specifically in the banking sector.

Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to investigate the market reaction to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, specifically in the banking sector.

Design/methodology/approach

The research uses an event study and cross-sectional analysis, with market reaction measured by cumulative abnormal return (CAR). The sample comprised 1,126 banks.

Findings

The results show that the market reacted negatively to the invasion both before and after its announcement. Developed and emerging markets saw a negative impact from the invasion, while frontier markets experienced only a slight impact. The authors also find that the banking markets of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) members reacted significantly and negatively both before and after the invasion was announced. This demonstrates that the negative market reaction of NATO members was more impactful than that of other markets. Overall, this study shows that investors in the banking market are very sensitive to war.

Originality/value

This is the first study to provide international evidence, specifically on the banking sector's reaction during the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Details

Journal of Economic Studies, vol. ahead-of-print no. ahead-of-print
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 0144-3585

Keywords

Article
Publication date: 9 February 2024

Rizky Yudaruddin and Dadang Lesmana

This study aims to investigate the market reaction in the real estate market to the announcement of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Abstract

Purpose

This study aims to investigate the market reaction in the real estate market to the announcement of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.

Design/methodology/approach

This study uses the event study method to assess the market reaction to the announcement that Russia is invading Ukraine. The sample in this study comprises 2,325 companies in the real estate market. We also conduct a cross-sectional analysis to determine the influence of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) members and company characteristics on market reactions during the invasion.

Findings

The global market reacts significantly negative toward Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. This indicates that the war poses a high geopolitical risk that prompts financial markets down. The authors also demonstrate that emerging and frontier markets react significantly negative to the invasion before and after its announcement. Meanwhile, developed markets tend to react only before the invasion is announced. Furthermore, we find that the NATO members react more strongly than other markets.

Social implications

This result implies that war prompts investors to flee from the stock exchange, while the deeper the country’s involvement, the more investors worry about the risks.

Originality/value

This study is the first to discuss the market reaction to the Russian invasion of Ukrainian, specifically in the real estate market.

Details

Journal of European Real Estate Research, vol. 17 no. 1
Type: Research Article
ISSN: 1753-9269

Keywords

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